Value bet: Corpus Christi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCorpus Christi to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
Corpus Christi host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Cabaniss Athletic Complex. Corpus Christi are 12th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Sarasota Paradise sit 11th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Corpus Christi's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Union Omaha 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarasota Paradise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 April 2026, finished Sarasota Paradise 2–1 Corpus Christi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Corpus Christi and 0.9 for Sarasota Paradise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Corpus Christi 62%, draw 17%, Sarasota Paradise 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Corpus Christi to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Corpus Christi 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corpus Christi62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 5.96 · @3.45
Sarasota Paradise22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
2.78Expected goals
1.84Corpus Christi xG
0.93Sarasota Paradise xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Corpus Christi 1.8 – 0.9 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers Corpus Christi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sarasota Paradise 22%.
How many goals will there be in Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is Corpus Christi 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?
Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Cabaniss Athletic Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
