Value bet: Charlotte Independence to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
Corpus Christi host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Cabaniss Athletic Complex. Corpus Christi are 12th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Corpus Christi's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Spokane Velocity 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Boise 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Corpus Christi and 1.6 for Charlotte Independence. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Corpus Christi 35%, draw 20%, Charlotte Independence 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Charlotte Independence to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Corpus Christi 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Corpus Christi35%fair 2.84 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.55
Charlotte Independence44%fair 2.25 · @2.70
2.89Expected goals
1.34Corpus Christi xG
1.55Charlotte Independence xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Corpus Christi 1.3 – 1.6 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
44%
2.25
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Corpus Christi – last 6
DWLLDD
3 May
vs Spokane Velocity
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Sarasota Paradise
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Westchester SC
1–5
L
25 Mar
@ One Knoxville
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Naples
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlotte Independence – last 6
WDLLLD
7 May
vs Boise
1–0
W
3 May
@ Fort Wayne
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ One Knoxville
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Charlotte
0–6
L
4 Apr
@ NY Cosmos
2–3
L
1 Apr
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Corpus Christi and Charlotte Independence.
What is the prediction for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Corpus Christi have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Charlotte Independence 44%.
How many goals will there be in Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Corpus Christi 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence?
Corpus Christi vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Cabaniss Athletic Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
