Value bet: Forward Madison to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForward Madison to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Alta vs Forward Madison preview and prediction
The match
Alta host Forward Madison in the USL League One on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 03:30 (WAT) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium. Alta are 13th with 34 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Forward Madison sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alta's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to New Mexico United 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Forward Madison's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Sarasota Paradise 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Forward Madison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Alta and 1.5 for Forward Madison. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alta 35%, draw 23%, Forward Madison 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Forward Madison to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alta 1–1 Forward Madison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alta35%fair 2.82 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Forward Madison42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
2.84Expected goals
1.35Alta xG
1.50Forward Madison xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Alta 1.3 – 1.5 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forward Madison to win✗
42%
2.38
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Alta – last 6
LDLLDD
26 Apr
@ New Mexico United
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Boise
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Spokane Velocity
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Union Omaha
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 5
WLWLW
3 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Lexington
2–4
L
29 Mar
@ Naples
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Flint City Bucks
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alta and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Alta vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alta vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Alta have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Forward Madison 42%.
How many goals will there be in Alta vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alta vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Alta 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alta vs Forward Madison?
Alta vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
