Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Union Omaha or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Union Omaha to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Omaha to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceUnion Omaha or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph travel to Werner Park in the USL League One on Sunday 3 May (01:00 WAT) to face Union Omaha. Union Omaha are 2nd with 62 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Greenville Triumph sit 15th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Omaha's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Indy Eleven 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Greenville Triumph's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Union Omaha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Union Omaha and 1.1 for Greenville Triumph. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Omaha 59%, draw 21%, Greenville Triumph 19%.
Safer route: Union Omaha or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Union Omaha to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Omaha or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Union Omaha 2–1 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Omaha59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.55
Greenville Triumph19%fair 5.24 · @3.50
3.08Expected goals
2.02Union Omaha xG
1.06Greenville Triumph xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 2.0 – 1.1 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✓
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Union Omaha or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Half-time result
Union Omaha ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Union Omaha – last 6
WLLWWW
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Alta
3–1
W
1 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ BOHFS St. Louis
8–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
LLWWLL
26 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Naples
0–1
L
30 Mar
vs Westchester SC
4–2
W
26 Mar
vs NY Cosmos
3–2
W
18 Mar
@ Asheville City
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Union Omaha or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Greenville Triumph 19%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 2–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
