Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Naples vs One Knoxville preview and prediction
The match
Naples host One Knoxville in the USL League One on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while One Knoxville sit 6th on 54 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Naples's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Miami FC 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
One Knoxville's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Columbus Crew 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Naples and 1.1 for One Knoxville. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naples 34%, draw 25%, One Knoxville 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Naples 1–1 One Knoxville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples34%fair 2.90 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
One Knoxville40%fair 2.50 · @2.62
2.14Expected goals
1.01Naples xG
1.12One Knoxville xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Naples 1.0 – 1.1 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
40%
2.50
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✓
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Naples – last 6
LLWWWL
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs America CFL Spurs
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Forward Madison
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
One Knoxville – last 6
LWDWWD
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and One Knoxville.
What is the prediction for Naples vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Naples vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Naples have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and One Knoxville 40%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Naples vs One Knoxville?
Naples vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
