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USL Championship · USA · Heart Health Park

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots prediction & analysis

85%
Footrivo pick

Sacramento Republic or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓60% · @1.70
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots preview and prediction

The match

Oakland Roots travel to Heart Health Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 25 October (03:00 WAT) to face Sacramento Republic. Sacramento Republic are 2nd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Oakland Roots sit 10th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sacramento Republic's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat El Paso Locomotive 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Oakland Roots's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat FC Tulsa 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Oakland Roots 1–3 Sacramento Republic. Across their last 2 meetings Sacramento Republic have won 2, Oakland Roots 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Sacramento Republic and 0.7 for Oakland Roots. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sacramento Republic or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sacramento Republic 1–0 Oakland Roots. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sacramento Republic60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60
Oakland Roots15%fair 6.80 · @4.00
2.40Expected goals
1.69Sacramento Republic xG
0.71Oakland Roots xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%

From our goals model: Sacramento Republic 1.7 – 0.7 Oakland Roots expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSacramento Republic to win ✓60%1.661.70
Double chanceSacramento Republic or draw ✓85%1.171.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.52–

Form

Sacramento Republic – last 6

WDDWWD
18 Oct@ El Paso Locomotive1–0W
11 Octvs Colorado Springs1–1D
4 Oct@ FC Tulsa1–1D
1 Octvs Las Vegas Lights3–2W
27 Sep@ New Mexico United3–2W
21 Sepvs San Antonio0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oakland Roots – last 6

WDDWWL
18 Oct@ FC Tulsa4–2W
11 Octvs San Antonio0–0D
4 Oct@ Colorado Springs0–0D
27 Sepvs Phoenix Rising3–0W
20 Sep@ Indy Eleven1–0W
13 Sepvs Lexington1–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Oakland Roots v Sacramento Republic1–3
17 May 2026Oakland Roots v Sacramento Republic0–1
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

Our pick is Sacramento Republic or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

On our numbers Sacramento Republic have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oakland Roots 15%.

How many goals will there be in Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

Our predicted score is Sacramento Republic 1–0 Oakland Roots, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots?

Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Heart Health Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.