Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Monterey Bay host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 12th with 24 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Colorado Springs 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Lexington 3–5 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Las Vegas Lights arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 July 2026, finished Monterey Bay 2–3 Las Vegas Lights. Across their last 2 meetings Monterey Bay have won 0, Las Vegas Lights 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Monterey Bay and 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 36%, draw 20%, Las Vegas Lights 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay36%fair 2.79 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Las Vegas Lights44%fair 2.28 · @2.40
2.88Expected goals
1.35Monterey Bay xG
1.53Las Vegas Lights xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.3 – 1.5 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Vegas Lights 44%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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