Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLexington to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington preview and prediction
The match
Lexington travel to Cashman Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 18 October (03:30 WAT) to face Las Vegas Lights. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Lexington sit 4th on 48 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Phoenix Rising 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Lexington's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with FC Tulsa 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Lexington arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 August 2026, finished Lexington 2–0 Las Vegas Lights. Across their last 2 meetings Las Vegas Lights have won 1, Lexington 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.6 for Lexington. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Vegas Lights 33%, draw 21%, Lexington 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Lexington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Vegas Lights33%fair 3.03 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Lexington46%fair 2.16 · @2.05
2.86Expected goals
1.28Las Vegas Lights xG
1.58Lexington xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.3 – 1.6 Lexington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lexington 46%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Lexington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington?
Las Vegas Lights vs Lexington (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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