USL Championship · USA · Lynn Family StadiumLouisville City vs Indy Eleven prediction & analysis
Louisville City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Louisville City 1.9 – 1.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Louisville City are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 21% for Indy Eleven.
Louisville City have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Indy Eleven have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. Louisville City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 for Louisville City, 1.0 for Indy Eleven). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Louisville City have won 0, Indy Eleven have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Louisville City to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.65.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Louisville City to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Half-time result | Louisville City ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✓ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.18 | – |
Form
Louisville City – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Charleston Battery | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Hartford Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Hartford Athletic | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Loudoun United | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs El Paso Locomotive | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ San Antonio | 0–0 | D |
Indy Eleven – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | @ Loudoun United | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | @ Rhode Island | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Miami FC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Oakland Roots | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Brooklyn | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 23 Aug 2026 | Indy Eleven v Louisville City | 2–1 |
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 30 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 30 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | -46 | 14 |
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Colorado Springs1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Louisville City to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Louisville City have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Indy Eleven 21%.
How many goals will there be in Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Louisville City vs Indy Eleven?
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lynn Family Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.