El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.59
El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
El Paso Locomotive host Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Orange County SC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Colorado Springs 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Sacramento Republic 1–2 El Paso Locomotive.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.3 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive38%fair 2.63 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.20
Sacramento Republic38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
2.64Expected goals
1.32El Paso Locomotive xG
1.32Sacramento Republic xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.3 – 1.3 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sacramento Republic 38%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic?
El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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