Value bet: Rhode Island to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRhode Island to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.82
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Rhode Island take on Indy Eleven on Thursday 1 October, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Centreville Bank Stadium. Rhode Island are 7th with 42 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rhode Island's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Indy Eleven's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Miami FC 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Indy Eleven 1–0 Rhode Island.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Rhode Island and 1.0 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rhode Island 58%, draw 21%, Indy Eleven 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Rhode Island to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Rhode Island 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rhode Island58%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Indy Eleven22%fair 4.64 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.78Rhode Island xG
0.97Indy Eleven xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rhode Island 1.8 – 1.0 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Rhode Island have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Indy Eleven 22%.
How many goals will there be in Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Rhode Island 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?
Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Centreville Bank Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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