El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
El Paso Locomotive or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees El Paso Locomotive take on FC Tulsa on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while FC Tulsa sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Phoenix Rising 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
FC Tulsa's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Brooklyn 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 July 2026, finished FC Tulsa 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. Across their last 2 meetings El Paso Locomotive have won 0, FC Tulsa 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.8 for FC Tulsa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 63%, draw 20%, FC Tulsa 17%.
Safer route: El Paso Locomotive or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: El Paso Locomotive to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was El Paso Locomotive or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.40
FC Tulsa17%fair 5.80 · @3.50
2.69Expected goals
1.86El Paso Locomotive xG
0.83FC Tulsa xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.9 – 0.8 FC Tulsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our pick is El Paso Locomotive or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Tulsa 17%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–0 FC Tulsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa?
El Paso Locomotive vs FC Tulsa (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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