USL Championship · USA · Trinity Health StadiumHartford Athletic vs Louisville City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.3 – 1.4 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Hartford Athletic and Louisville City on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Hartford Athletic have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Louisville City have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Hartford Athletic come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Hartford Athletic, 1.4 for Louisville City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 63%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Hartford Athletic have won 0, Louisville City have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.60.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Louisville City to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City ✗ | 23% | 4.43 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.29 | – |
Form
Hartford Athletic – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Las Vegas Lights | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Sporting JAX | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Tampa Bay Rowdies | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs Colorado Springs | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Detroit City | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ Charleston Battery | 2–1 | W |
Louisville City – last 6
| 20 Sep | vs Loudoun United | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs El Paso Locomotive | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ San Antonio | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Rhode Island | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Detroit City | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | @ Indy Eleven | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 5 Jul 2026 | Louisville City v Hartford Athletic | 1–0 |
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |  Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 |
| 4 |  Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 30 | -10 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 30 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 30 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 30 | -29 | 21 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 30 | -46 | 14 |
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FC Tulsa1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Louisville City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.