Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Phoenix Rising take on Indy Eleven on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 03:30 (WAT) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Phoenix Rising are 8th with 40 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Phoenix Rising's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Sacramento Republic 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Indy Eleven's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Louisville City 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Phoenix Rising and 1.3 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Phoenix Rising 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phoenix Rising42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Indy Eleven36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
2.74Expected goals
1.44Phoenix Rising xG
1.30Indy Eleven xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Phoenix Rising 1.4 – 1.3 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✓
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
Phoenix Rising – last 6
DWLDDW
23 Aug
@ Sacramento Republic
2–2
D
20 Aug
vs Colorado Springs
3–1
W
9 Aug
@ Lexington
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Hartford Athletic
0–0
D
19 Jul
vs Monterey Bay
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
WWDLLL
23 Aug
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
9 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ San Antonio
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Loudoun United
0–1
L
19 Jul
@ Detroit City
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Phoenix Rising have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Indy Eleven 36%.
How many goals will there be in Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Phoenix Rising 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven?
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Wild Horse Pass Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington0
Colorado Springs1
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa1
El Paso Locomotive4
New Mexico United1
San Antonio2