Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Hartford Athletic or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Hartford Athletic to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHartford Athletic to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceHartford Athletic or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion travel to Trinity Health Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 30 August (00:00 WAT) to face Hartford Athletic. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Birmingham Legion sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hartford Athletic's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Miami FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Birmingham Legion's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Sporting JAX 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Birmingham Legion 0–0 Hartford Athletic.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Hartford Athletic and 0.7 for Birmingham Legion. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Safer route: Hartford Athletic or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Hartford Athletic to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hartford Athletic or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1–0 Birmingham Legion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartford Athletic55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Birmingham Legion20%fair 4.93 · @3.30
2.16Expected goals
1.43Hartford Athletic xG
0.73Birmingham Legion xG
56%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
1–112%
2–012%
0–012%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.4 – 0.7 Birmingham Legion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
Our pick is Hartford Athletic or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Birmingham Legion 20%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–0 Birmingham Legion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion?
Hartford Athletic vs Birmingham Legion (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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