El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: El Paso Locomotive to win @ 1.68 – our chance 67% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓67% · @1.68
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.93
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees El Paso Locomotive take on Loudoun United on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Loudoun United's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with New Mexico United 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Paso Locomotive arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.8 for Loudoun United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 67%, draw 22%, Loudoun United 11%.
Safer route: El Paso Locomotive or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Value angle: El Paso Locomotive to win at 1.68 – 67% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive67%fair 1.49 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Loudoun United11%fair 8.81 · @4.20
2.85Expected goals
2.09El Paso Locomotive xG
0.76Loudoun United xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.1 – 0.8 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Paso Locomotive to win✓
67%
1.49
1.68 ▲
Double chance
El Paso Locomotive or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Half-time result
El Paso Locomotive ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT El Paso Locomotive / FT El Paso Locomotive✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.93
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
WWWWWL
27 Aug
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Colorado Springs
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Oakland Roots
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Monterey Bay
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Orange County SC
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Loudoun United – last 6
DDLWWD
22 Aug
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Detroit City
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Charleston Battery
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Indy Eleven
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Loudoun United.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Loudoun United 11%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United?
El Paso Locomotive vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington0
Colorado Springs1
Oakland Roots1
Orange County SC1
FC Tulsa1
New Mexico United1
San Antonio2
Monterey Bay1
Sacramento Republic1