San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
San Antonio or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: San Antonio to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Antonio to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Antonio or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.17
San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees San Antonio take on Las Vegas Lights on Sunday 19 July, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Toyota Field. San Antonio are 6th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
San Antonio's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Monterey Bay 3–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
San Antonio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for San Antonio and 0.8 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Antonio 64%, draw 20%, Las Vegas Lights 16%.
Safer route: San Antonio or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: San Antonio to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Antonio or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: San Antonio 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Antonio64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.45
Las Vegas Lights16%fair 6.40 · @3.65
2.77Expected goals
1.95San Antonio xG
0.82Las Vegas Lights xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: San Antonio 1.9 – 0.8 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Antonio to win✗
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
San Antonio or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
San Antonio ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Antonio / FT San Antonio✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.17
–
Form
San Antonio – last 6
WDWLWD
12 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Monterey Bay
0–0
D
25 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
2–1
W
14 Jun
@ Lexington
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ FC Tulsa
2–1
W
28 May
@ Sporting JAX
4–4
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
WLLWLD
12 Jul
@ Monterey Bay
3–2
W
5 Jul
vs El Paso Locomotive
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–3
L
14 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
31 May
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Antonio and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is San Antonio or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers San Antonio have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Vegas Lights 16%.
How many goals will there be in San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is San Antonio 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights?
San Antonio vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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