FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
FC Tulsa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FC Tulsa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tulsa to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceFC Tulsa or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive preview and prediction
The match
El Paso Locomotive travel to ONEOK Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 19 July (01:30 WAT) to face FC Tulsa. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while El Paso Locomotive sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Birmingham Legion 1–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to New Mexico United 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished El Paso Locomotive 1–4 FC Tulsa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for FC Tulsa and 1.1 for El Paso Locomotive. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 58%, draw 22%, El Paso Locomotive 20%.
Safer route: FC Tulsa or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: FC Tulsa to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tulsa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–1 El Paso Locomotive. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
El Paso Locomotive20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
3.00Expected goals
1.94FC Tulsa xG
1.05El Paso Locomotive xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.9 – 1.1 El Paso Locomotive expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our pick is FC Tulsa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Paso Locomotive 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 El Paso Locomotive, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive?
FC Tulsa vs El Paso Locomotive (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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