Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 1.70 – our chance 62% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.93
Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to Hodges Stadium in the USL Championship on Thursday 16 July (00:30 WAT) to face Sporting JAX. Sporting JAX are 13th with 14 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting JAX's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Austin 0–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.5 conceded.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Loudoun United 2–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–2 Sporting JAX.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Sporting JAX and 2.1 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (87%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 1.70 – 62% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sporting JAX 0–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting JAX13%fair 7.73 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.55
Pittsburgh Riverhounds62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
2.94Expected goals
0.88Sporting JAX xG
2.06Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sporting JAX 0.9 – 2.1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Half-time result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
What is the prediction for Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Sporting JAX have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Sporting JAX 0–2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Sporting JAX vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hodges Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington1
New Mexico United4