Miami FC host Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Riccardo Silva Stadium. Miami FC are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Indy Eleven sit 9th on 34 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Miami FC's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Sarasota Paradise 5–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Indy Eleven's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Charleston Battery 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Indy Eleven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Miami FC and 1.5 for Indy Eleven. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Miami FC 32%, draw 21%, Indy Eleven 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Miami FC 1–1 Indy Eleven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Miami FC32%fair 3.10 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Indy Eleven47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
2.72Expected goals
1.20Miami FC xG
1.52Indy Eleven xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Miami FC 1.2 – 1.5 Indy Eleven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Indy Eleven to win✗
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Indy Eleven / FT Indy Eleven✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.99
–
Form
Miami FC – last 6
WDLDLW
12 Jul
@ Sarasota Paradise
5–0
W
6 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
25 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–4
L
14 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
0–0
D
31 May
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
24 May
vs Louisville City
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Indy Eleven – last 6
WDLWWW
4 Jul
vs Charleston Battery
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ Lexington
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Forward Madison
2–0
W
31 May
vs Rhode Island
1–0
W
24 May
vs Lexington
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Miami FC and Indy Eleven.
What is the prediction for Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
On our numbers Miami FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Indy Eleven 47%.
How many goals will there be in Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Our predicted score is Miami FC 1–1 Indy Eleven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Miami FC vs Indy Eleven?
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Riccardo Silva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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