Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✗90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.06
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Tampa Bay Rowdies host Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Al Lang Stadium. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 1st with 61 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Hartford Athletic sit 6th on 43 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Charleston Battery 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hartford Athletic's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.5 for Hartford Athletic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 70%, draw 19%, Hartford Athletic 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampa Bay Rowdies to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Hartford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies70%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.90
Hartford Athletic10%fair 9.78 · @7.40
2.44Expected goals
1.90Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
0.54Hartford Athletic xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.9 – 0.5 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✗
70%
1.42
1.40
Double chance
Tampa Bay Rowdies or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Half-time result
Tampa Bay Rowdies ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.06
–
Form
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–2
D
7 Jun
@ Sporting JAX
2–0
W
31 May
@ Louisville City
2–0
W
24 May
vs Phoenix Rising
3–0
W
21 May
@ New Mexico United
1–0
W
17 May
@ Miami FC
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
WDLWWD
7 Jun
@ NY Cosmos
4–1
W
31 May
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
10 May
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Rhode Island
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Tampa Bay Rowdies to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hartford Athletic 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Hartford Athletic (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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