El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Phoenix Rising to win @ 2.85 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhoenix Rising to win ✗40% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising preview and prediction
The match
Phoenix Rising travel to Southwest University Park in the USL Championship on Sunday 14 June (02:00 WAT) to face El Paso Locomotive. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Phoenix Rising sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Detroit City 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Phoenix Rising's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Louisville City 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.6 for Phoenix Rising. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Phoenix Rising to win at 2.85 – 40% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.65
Phoenix Rising40%fair 2.48 · @2.85
3.14Expected goals
1.55El Paso Locomotive xG
1.59Phoenix Rising xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.5 – 1.6 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phoenix Rising to win✗
40%
2.48
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Form
El Paso Locomotive – last 6
DLLWLD
11 Jun
@ Detroit City
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Colorado Springs
1–2
L
31 May
vs Lexington
1–4
L
28 May
vs Alta
2–0
W
10 May
@ Oakland Roots
1–2
L
7 May
@ New Mexico United
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 6
LLWLWD
11 Jun
vs Louisville City
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ New Mexico United
0–4
L
31 May
vs Sacramento Republic
2–0
W
24 May
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
17 May
vs Orange County SC
2–1
W
10 May
vs San Antonio
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Paso Locomotive and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 40%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising?
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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