Value bet: Birmingham Legion to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Corpus Christi 3–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Oakland Roots 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Birmingham Legion and 1.0 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Birmingham Legion to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw13%fair 7.53 · @3.60
Las Vegas Lights23%fair 4.26 · @3.30
2.86Expected goals
1.89Birmingham Legion xG
0.97Las Vegas Lights xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.9 – 1.0 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham Legion to win✗
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Half-time result
Birmingham Legion ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham Legion / FT Birmingham Legion✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Birmingham Legion – last 6
WDLDWL
10 Jun
vs Corpus Christi
3–0
W
4 Jun
vs Louisville City
1–1
D
24 May
@ Monterey Bay
0–2
L
8 May
vs Miami FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Rhode Island
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Las Vegas Lights – last 6
LDWLLW
7 Jun
vs Oakland Roots
0–2
L
31 May
vs FC Tulsa
0–0
D
24 May
vs Colorado Springs
2–0
W
18 May
@ Spokane Velocity
0–1
L
10 May
@ New Mexico United
1–3
L
3 May
vs Lexington
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Las Vegas Lights 23%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights?
Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Lexington2
San Antonio0
FC Tulsa1
Colorado Springs0
Sacramento Republic1
El Paso Locomotive1
Phoenix Rising1