New Mexico United vs Orange County SC Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 14 Jun 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultNew Mexico United to win ✗63% · @1.85

Double chanceNew Mexico United or draw ✓87% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC preview and prediction

The match

The USL Championship sees New Mexico United take on Orange County SC on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park. New Mexico United are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

New Mexico United's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Phoenix Rising 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Orange County SC's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Alta 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.

New Mexico United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Orange County SC 0–1 New Mexico United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for New Mexico United and 0.7 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: New Mexico United 63%, draw 23%, Orange County SC 13%.
Safer route: New Mexico United or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Value angle: New Mexico United to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was New Mexico United or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: New Mexico United 1–0 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

New Mexico United63%fair 1.58 · @1.85

Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.50

Orange County SC13%fair 7.47 · @3.55

2.51Expected goals

1.80New Mexico United xG

0.70Orange County SC xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%

2–013%

1–110%

2–19%

0–08%

3–08%

From our goals model: New Mexico United 1.8 – 0.7 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	New Mexico United to win ✗	63%	1.58	1.85 ▲
Double chance	New Mexico United or draw ✓	87%	1.15	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.36
Half-time result	New Mexico United ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT New Mexico United / FT New Mexico United ✗	40%	2.49	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.80	–

Form

New Mexico United – last 6

WDWLLW

7 Jun	vs Phoenix Rising	4–0	W
31 May	@ Hartford Athletic	0–0	D
24 May	vs Charleston Battery	1–0	W
21 May	vs Tampa Bay Rowdies	0–1	L
17 May	@ Colorado Springs	0–4	L
10 May	vs Las Vegas Lights	3–1	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

17%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

LWLDLL

7 Jun	@ Alta	1–2	L
24 May	vs Oakland Roots	3–2	W
17 May	@ Phoenix Rising	1–2	L
9 May	@ Colorado Springs	2–2	D
3 May	@ Sacramento Republic	2–3	L
26 Apr	vs El Paso Locomotive	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	New Mexico United	30	15	7	8	+11	52
2	Sacramento Republic	30	13	12	5	+14	51
3	El Paso Locomotive	30	15	5	10	+10	50
4	Lexington	30	14	6	10	+18	48
5	Colorado Springs	30	13	8	9	+6	47
6	San Antonio	30	11	12	7	+2	45
7	FC Tulsa	30	11	10	9	+3	43
8	Phoenix Rising	30	10	10	10	-1	40
9	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	-10	39
10	Oakland Roots	30	9	11	10	-1	38
11	Las Vegas Lights	30	10	6	14	-7	36
12	Monterey Bay	30	6	6	18	-20	24

Team

Pts

+11

+14

+10

+18

-1

-10

-1

-7

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is New Mexico United or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers New Mexico United have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Orange County SC 13%.

How many goals will there be in New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is New Mexico United 1–0 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is New Mexico United vs Orange County SC?

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes