Phoenix Rising travel to ONEOK Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 29 March (01:00 WAT) to face FC Tulsa. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Phoenix Rising sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Phoenix Rising's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Oakland Roots 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
FC Tulsa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for FC Tulsa and 0.9 for Phoenix Rising. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 57%, draw 21%, Phoenix Rising 21%.
Safer route: FC Tulsa or draw (79%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–0 Phoenix Rising. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa57%fair 1.74 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Phoenix Rising21%fair 4.70 · @4.20
2.58Expected goals
1.68FC Tulsa xG
0.90Phoenix Rising xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.7 – 0.9 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tulsa to win✗
57%
1.74
1.77
Double chance
FC Tulsa or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tulsa / FT FC Tulsa✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
FC Tulsa – last 4
WWDL
22 Mar
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–2
W
19 Mar
@ Little Rock Rangers
4–2
W
15 Mar
vs San Antonio
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Sacramento Republic
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Phoenix Rising – last 4
DWDL
22 Mar
vs Oakland Roots
2–2
D
18 Mar
vs San Ramon
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Orange County SC
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ San Antonio
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Tulsa and Phoenix Rising.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–0 Phoenix Rising, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising?
FC Tulsa vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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