Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chancePittsburgh Riverhounds or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX preview and prediction
The match
The USL Championship sees Pittsburgh Riverhounds take on Sporting JAX on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Highmark Stadium. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Sporting JAX sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Steel City 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.9 for Sporting JAX. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–0 Sporting JAX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pittsburgh Riverhounds66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.55
Sporting JAX11%fair 9.03 · @4.33
3.12Expected goals
2.25Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
0.88Sporting JAX xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2.2 – 0.9 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✓
66%
1.51
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Pittsburgh Riverhounds or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.28
Half-time result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.01
–
Form
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 4
WLLW
26 Mar
vs Steel City
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Charleston Battery
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Loudoun United
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 2
LL
26 Mar
vs Miami FC
2–4
L
8 Mar
vs Hartford Athletic
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pittsburgh Riverhounds and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Pittsburgh Riverhounds have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting JAX 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Highmark Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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