Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.60 – our chance 53% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTijuana W to win78% · @1.08
Double chanceTijuana W or draw90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–211% · fair 8.96
Necaxa W vs Tijuana W preview and prediction
The match
Tijuana W travel to Estadio Victoria in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 5 April (23:00 WAT) to face Necaxa W. Necaxa W are 18th with 1 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Tijuana W sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Necaxa W's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Juárez W 0–6 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tijuana W's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Tigres UANL W 0–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Tijuana W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 0.8 for Necaxa W and 2.7 for Tijuana W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 69% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Necaxa W 10%, draw 13%, Tijuana W 78%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.60.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.60 – 53% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Necaxa W 0–3 Tijuana W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Necaxa W10%fair 10.41 · @23.00
Draw13%fair 7.78 · @10.00
Tijuana W78%fair 1.29 · @1.08
3.45Expected goals
0.80Necaxa W xG
2.65Tijuana W xG
53%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–310%
1–29%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 0.8 – 2.7 Tijuana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tijuana W to win
78%
1.29
1.08
Double chance
Tijuana W or draw
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.87
2.60 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
52%
1.94
1.95
Half-time result
Tijuana W ahead at half-time
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tijuana W / FT Tijuana W
53%
1.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2
11%
8.96
–
Form
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLDLL
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tijuana W – last 6
LDWWLW
3 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Pachuca W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs León W
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa W and Tijuana W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Tijuana W 78%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 0–3 Tijuana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Tijuana W?
Necaxa W vs Tijuana W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
