Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPumas UNAM W to win ✗78% · @1.10
Double chancePumas UNAM W or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W preview and prediction
The match
Puebla W travel to face Pumas UNAM W in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 5 April (19:00 WAT). Pumas UNAM W are 9th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Puebla W sit 17th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pumas UNAM W's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Monterrey W 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Puebla W's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Querétaro W 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.8 for Pumas UNAM W and 0.8 for Puebla W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pumas UNAM W 78%, draw 15%, Puebla W 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.40.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Pumas UNAM W 3–0 Puebla W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pumas UNAM W78%fair 1.28 · @1.10
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @8.90
Puebla W7%fair 15.20 · @22.00
3.52Expected goals
2.77Pumas UNAM W xG
0.76Puebla W xG
51%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Pumas UNAM W 2.8 – 0.8 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pumas UNAM W to win✗
78%
1.28
1.10
Double chance
Pumas UNAM W or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.00
Half-time result
Pumas UNAM W ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pumas UNAM W / FT Pumas UNAM W✗
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.85
–
Form
Pumas UNAM W – last 5
LWLLL
2 Apr
@ Monterrey W
0–3
L
28 Mar
vs León W
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Toluca W
2–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 5
DLLLL
1 Apr
vs Querétaro W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pumas UNAM W and Puebla W.
What is the prediction for Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers Pumas UNAM W have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Puebla W 7%.
How many goals will there be in Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is Pumas UNAM W 3–0 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W?
Pumas UNAM W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
