Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca W to win ✗41% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Toluca W take on Cruz Azul W on Sunday 5 April, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cruz Azul W sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Toluca W's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with León W 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Cruz Azul W's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Atlético San Luis W 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Toluca W and 1.6 for Cruz Azul W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 41%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul W 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Toluca W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W41%fair 2.42 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Cruz Azul W36%fair 2.75 · @2.82
3.33Expected goals
1.72Toluca W xG
1.61Cruz Azul W xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Toluca W 1.7 – 1.6 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✗
41%
2.42
2.28
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Form
Toluca W – last 6
DWWLWW
1 Apr
@ León W
3–3
D
28 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
3–2
W
21 Mar
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
17 Mar
@ América W
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Pumas UNAM W
4–2
W
21 Feb
@ Santos Laguna W
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul W – last 5
LWWWD
2 Apr
@ Atlético San Luis W
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul W 36%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W?
Toluca W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
