Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 58% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruz Azul W to win77% · @1.09
Double chanceCruz Azul W or draw94% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @2.15
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–010% · fair 10.36
Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W preview and prediction
The match
Cruz Azul W host Puebla W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 22:45 (WAT) at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1. Cruz Azul W are 12th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Puebla W sit 17th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruz Azul W's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Santos Laguna W 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Puebla W's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Juárez W 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Cruz Azul W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.9 for Cruz Azul W and 0.9 for Puebla W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruz Azul W 77%, draw 18%, Puebla W 6%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 58% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Cruz Azul W 3–0 Puebla W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruz Azul W77%fair 1.31 · @1.09
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @9.10
Puebla W6%fair 17.00 · @23.00
3.78Expected goals
2.92Cruz Azul W xG
0.87Puebla W xG
58%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
3–09%
2–18%
3–18%
4–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 2.9 – 0.9 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruz Azul W to win
77%
1.31
1.09
Double chance
Cruz Azul W or draw
94%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.74
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.50
Half-time result
Cruz Azul W ahead at half-time
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruz Azul W / FT Cruz Azul W
56%
1.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
10%
10.36
–
Form
Cruz Azul W – last 4
WWWD
18 Mar
@ Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Atlas W
6–4
W
15 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Mazatlán W
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul W and Puebla W.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Puebla W 6%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 3–0 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W?
Cruz Azul W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Instalaciones La Noria Cancha 1.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2