Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Pumas UNAM W to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPumas UNAM W to win ✓63% · @1.90
Double chancePumas UNAM W or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
Pumas UNAM W vs León W preview and prediction
The match
León W travel to face Pumas UNAM W in the Liga MX Femenil on Saturday 28 March (01:00 WAT). Pumas UNAM W are 9th with 20 points from 14 games (in the top half), while León W sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Pumas UNAM W's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Tijuana W 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
León W's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Atlas W 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
León W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Pumas UNAM W and 1.1 for León W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pumas UNAM W 63%, draw 24%, León W 13%.
Safer route: Pumas UNAM W or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Pumas UNAM W to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pumas UNAM W or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pumas UNAM W 2–1 León W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pumas UNAM W63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
León W13%fair 7.96 · @3.75
3.43Expected goals
2.36Pumas UNAM W xG
1.06León W xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Pumas UNAM W 2.4 – 1.1 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pumas UNAM W to win✓
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Pumas UNAM W or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Half-time result
Pumas UNAM W ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pumas UNAM W / FT Pumas UNAM W✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Form
Pumas UNAM W – last 3
LLL
18 Mar
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Toluca W
2–4
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
León W – last 4
WLLL
24 Mar
vs Atlas W
4–0
W
17 Mar
vs Mazatlán W
1–3
L
14 Mar
@ América W
2–4
L
22 Feb
@ Tijuana W
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pumas UNAM W and León W.
What is the prediction for Pumas UNAM W vs León W?
Our pick is Pumas UNAM W or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pumas UNAM W vs León W?
On our numbers Pumas UNAM W have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and León W 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pumas UNAM W vs León W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pumas UNAM W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Pumas UNAM W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Pumas UNAM W vs León W?
Pumas UNAM W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2