The Liga MX Femenil sees Atlas W take on Necaxa W on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Colomos. Atlas W are 13th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Necaxa W sit 18th on 1 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlas W's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to León W 0–4 away. They average 1.4 scored and 3.4 conceded.
Necaxa W's last 4: LDLL Most recently they lost to Toluca W 1–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.6 for Atlas W and 0.9 for Necaxa W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas W 72%, draw 19%, Necaxa W 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlas W to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Atlas W 2–0 Necaxa W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas W72%fair 1.40 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @5.30
Necaxa W9%fair 10.62 · @11.00
3.46Expected goals
2.56Atlas W xG
0.90Necaxa W xG
61%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Atlas W 2.6 – 0.9 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas W to win✓
72%
1.40
1.26
Double chance
Atlas W or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.77
Half-time result
Atlas W ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas W / FT Atlas W✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Form
Atlas W – last 5
LLWLL
24 Mar
@ León W
0–4
L
17 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
4–6
L
17 Feb
@ Guadalajara W
2–4
L
1.4Scored / game
3.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 4
LDLL
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Cruz Azul W
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Santos Laguna W
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas W and Necaxa W.
Our pick is Atlas W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Atlas W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Necaxa W 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Atlas W 2–0 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Atlas W vs Necaxa W?
Atlas W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Colomos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2