San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe prediction & analysis

San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe preview and prediction

The match

Union Santa Fe travel to Estadio Pedro Bidegain in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 15 August (18:30 WAT) to face San Lorenzo. San Lorenzo are 18th with 41 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Union Santa Fe sit 16th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

San Lorenzo's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Huracan 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

Union Santa Fe's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Union Santa Fe 0–0 San Lorenzo.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for San Lorenzo and 1.1 for Union Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

• Win chances: San Lorenzo 38%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 36%.
• Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: San Lorenzo 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.