Value bet: Deportivo Riestra to win @ 3.70 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewells Old Boys to win ✓44% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra preview and prediction
The match
Newells Old Boys host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa. Newells Old Boys are 22nd with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Riestra sit 28th on 23 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Newells Old Boys's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Defensa Y Justicia 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Riestra's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Estudiantes L.P. 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 February 2026, finished Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Newells Old Boys.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Newells Old Boys and 0.9 for Deportivo Riestra. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newells Old Boys 44%, draw 25%, Deportivo Riestra 31%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Deportivo Riestra to win at 3.70 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Newells Old Boys 1–0 Deportivo Riestra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newells Old Boys44%fair 2.29 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.82
Deportivo Riestra31%fair 3.19 · @3.70
1.96Expected goals
1.10Newells Old Boys xG
0.86Deportivo Riestra xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Newells Old Boys 1.1 – 0.9 Deportivo Riestra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
On our numbers Newells Old Boys have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Riestra 31%.
How many goals will there be in Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Our predicted score is Newells Old Boys 1–0 Deportivo Riestra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra?
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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