Value bet: Tigre to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigre to win ✗47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Aldosivi vs Tigre preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Profesional Argentina sees Aldosivi take on Tigre on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Aldosivi are 29th with 19 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Tigre sit 20th on 39 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aldosivi's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Rosario Central 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tigre's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tigre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Aldosivi and 1.1 for Tigre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aldosivi 28%, draw 25%, Tigre 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Tigre to win at 2.60 – 47% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Aldosivi 0–1 Tigre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldosivi28%fair 3.60 · @3.05
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.80
Tigre47%fair 2.12 · @2.60
1.92Expected goals
0.78Aldosivi xG
1.14Tigre xG
50%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aldosivi 0.8 – 1.1 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigre to win✗
47%
2.12
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigre / FT Tigre✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.96
–
Form
Aldosivi – last 6
LLLDWL
7 Aug
@ Rosario Central
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Gimnasia L.P.
1–2
L
29 Jul
@ Barracas Central
0–1
L
24 Jul
@ Defensa Y Justicia
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ River Plate
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ River Plate
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tigre – last 6
LWDWLL
12 Aug
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs River Plate
1–0
W
6 Aug
vs Belgrano Cordoba
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Racing Club
3–1
W
28 Jul
vs Club Nacional
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldosivi and Tigre.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aldosivi vs Tigre?
On our numbers Aldosivi have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tigre 47%.
How many goals will there be in Aldosivi vs Tigre?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldosivi vs Tigre?
Our predicted score is Aldosivi 0–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Aldosivi vs Tigre?
Aldosivi vs Tigre (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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