Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Wexford to win @ 1.88 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWexford to win ✗65% · @1.88
Double chanceWexford or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Wexford vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
Longford Town travel to Ferrycarrig Park in the First Division on Friday 8 May (19:45 WAT) to face Wexford. Wexford are 8th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Wexford's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Treaty United 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Longford Town's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Athlone Town 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Wexford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Wexford and 0.6 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wexford 65%, draw 21%, Longford Town 14%.
Safer route: Wexford or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Wexford to win at 1.88 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Wexford or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Wexford 1–0 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wexford65%fair 1.53 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Longford Town14%fair 7.23 · @4.00
2.28Expected goals
1.69Wexford xG
0.59Longford Town xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.7 – 0.6 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✗
65%
1.53
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Wexford or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Wexford – last 6
LWWLWD
4 May
@ Treaty United
0–1
L
1 May
vs Finn Harps
2–0
W
24 Apr
vs Cobh Ramblers
2–0
W
17 Apr
@ Cork City
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs Athlone Town
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ UCD
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 6
DLDLDL
4 May
vs Athlone Town
1–1
D
1 May
@ UCD
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Cobh Ramblers
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Athlone Town
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Treaty United
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Cork City
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wexford and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Wexford or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Wexford vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Wexford have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Longford Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–0 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Longford Town?
Wexford vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry0