Value bet: Cork City to win @ 1.64 – our chance 66% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCork City to win ✓66% · @1.64
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Cork City vs UCD preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Cork City take on UCD on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Turners Cross. Cork City are 1st with 75 points from 36 games (top of the table), while UCD sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cork City's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Kerry 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
UCD's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Cobh Ramblers 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UCD arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished UCD 0–1 Cork City.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Cork City and 0.6 for UCD. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cork City 66%, draw 23%, UCD 11%.
Safer route: Cork City or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Cork City to win at 1.64 – 66% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cork City 1–0 UCD. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cork City66%fair 1.51 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.75
UCD11%fair 9.52 · @5.25
2.43Expected goals
1.84Cork City xG
0.60UCD xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Cork City 1.8 – 0.6 UCD expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cork City vs UCD?
On our numbers Cork City have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCD 11%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs UCD?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs UCD?
Our predicted score is Cork City 1–0 UCD, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs UCD?
Cork City vs UCD (First Division) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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