Value bet: Bray Wanderers to win @ 1.68 – our chance 63% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBray Wanderers to win ✗63% · @1.68
Double chanceBray Wanderers or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United preview and prediction
The match
The First Division sees Bray Wanderers take on Treaty United on Friday 1 May, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Carlisle Grounds. Bray Wanderers are 3rd with 54 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Treaty United sit 9th on 42 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bray Wanderers's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Cork City 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Treaty United's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to UCD 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Treaty United 0–1 Bray Wanderers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Bray Wanderers and 0.8 for Treaty United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bray Wanderers 63%, draw 21%, Treaty United 16%.
Safer route: Bray Wanderers or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Bray Wanderers to win at 1.68 – 63% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bray Wanderers 2–0 Treaty United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bray Wanderers63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.75
Treaty United16%fair 6.24 · @4.85
2.61Expected goals
1.83Bray Wanderers xG
0.77Treaty United xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bray Wanderers 1.8 – 0.8 Treaty United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
On our numbers Bray Wanderers have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Treaty United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
Our predicted score is Bray Wanderers 2–0 Treaty United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?
Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United (First Division) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Carlisle Grounds.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kerry0