Kerry travel to Ferrycarrig Park in the First Division on Friday 13 March (20:45 WAT) to face Wexford.
Form guide
Wexford's last 4: DDLW Most recently they drew with Finn Harps 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kerry's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Treaty United 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Wexford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Wexford and 1.2 for Kerry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Wexford 46%, draw 22%, Kerry 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Wexford 1–1 Kerry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wexford46%fair 2.17 · @2.16
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Kerry32%fair 3.13 · @3.25
2.74Expected goals
1.53Wexford xG
1.22Kerry xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Wexford 1.5 – 1.2 Kerry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Wexford to win✗
46%
2.17
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Wexford / FT Wexford✗
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Form
Wexford – last 4
DDLW
6 Mar
@ Finn Harps
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Athlone Town
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Cork City
1–4
L
13 Feb
@ Cobh Ramblers
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kerry – last 4
DDLL
6 Mar
@ Treaty United
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Longford Town
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Athlone Town
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ UCD
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wexford and Kerry.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Wexford vs Kerry?
On our numbers Wexford have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kerry 32%.
How many goals will there be in Wexford vs Kerry?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wexford vs Kerry?
Our predicted score is Wexford 1–1 Kerry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wexford vs Kerry?
Wexford vs Kerry (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ferrycarrig Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
