Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCork City to win ✓67% · @1.26
Double chanceCork City or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.97
Cork City vs Longford Town preview and prediction
The match
Longford Town travel to Turners Cross in the First Division on Friday 13 March (20:45 WAT) to face Cork City. Cork City are 1st with 75 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Longford Town sit 5th on 52 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cork City's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Cobh Ramblers 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Cork City and 0.6 for Longford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cork City 67%, draw 19%, Longford Town 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Cork City 1–0 Longford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cork City67%fair 1.49 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @5.40
Longford Town14%fair 7.26 · @11.00
2.49Expected goals
1.84Cork City xG
0.65Longford Town xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Cork City 1.8 – 0.6 Longford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cork City to win✓
67%
1.49
1.26
Double chance
Cork City or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Half-time result
Cork City ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cork City / FT Cork City✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.97
–
Form
Cork City – last 4
DWWW
6 Mar
@ Cobh Ramblers
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bray Wanderers
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Wexford
4–1
W
13 Feb
vs Treaty United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Longford Town – last 2
DD
27 Feb
@ Kerry
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Bray Wanderers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cork City and Longford Town.
What is the prediction for Cork City vs Longford Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Cork City vs Longford Town?
On our numbers Cork City have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Longford Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cork City vs Longford Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cork City vs Longford Town?
Our predicted score is Cork City 1–0 Longford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cork City vs Longford Town?
Cork City vs Longford Town (First Division) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Turners Cross.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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