Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Waterford to win @ 2.40 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaterford to win ✗45% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Waterford vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Dundalk travel to Regional Sports Centre in the Premier Division on Friday 11 September (19:45 WAT) to face Waterford. Waterford are 7th with 43 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waterford's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Sligo Rovers 3–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundalk's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Derry City 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Waterford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 June 2026, finished Dundalk 2–3 Waterford. Across their last 2 meetings Waterford have won 1, Dundalk 0, with 1 draw and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for Waterford and 1.4 for Dundalk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Waterford to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Waterford 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waterford45%fair 2.22 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.50
Dundalk34%fair 2.90 · @2.62
3.07Expected goals
1.66Waterford xG
1.41Dundalk xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Waterford 1.7 – 1.4 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Waterford vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Waterford have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dundalk 34%.
How many goals will there be in Waterford vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waterford vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Waterford 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Waterford vs Dundalk?
Waterford vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Regional Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
