Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees St Patrick's Athl. take on Shamrock Rovers on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Richmond Park. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table).
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Bohemians 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Derry City 3–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 2–2 Shamrock Rovers. Across their last 4 meetings St Patrick's Athl. have won 0, Shamrock Rovers 3, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for St Patrick's Athl. and 1.2 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.41%fair 2.45 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Shamrock Rovers34%fair 2.94 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.31St Patrick's Athl. xG
1.16Shamrock Rovers xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.3 – 1.2 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 34%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
