Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Dundalk to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceDundalk or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.11
Dundalk vs Galway United preview and prediction
The match
Galway United travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 21 August (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Galway United sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Castlebar Celtic 8–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Galway United's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Bray Wanderers 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Galway United 0–1 Dundalk. Across their last 3 meetings Dundalk have won 2, Galway United 0, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Dundalk and 0.9 for Galway United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 64%, draw 22%, Galway United 14%.
Safer route: Dundalk or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Dundalk to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dundalk or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dundalk 2–0 Galway United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.90
Galway United14%fair 7.35 · @4.10
3.02Expected goals
2.12Dundalk xG
0.90Galway United xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Dundalk 2.1 – 0.9 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our pick is Dundalk or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dundalk vs Galway United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Galway United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Galway United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 2–0 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Galway United?
Dundalk vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
