Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓64% · @1.69
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
Drogheda United host St Patrick's Athl. in the Premier Division on Friday 21 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Weavers Park. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat College Corinthians 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Shamrock Rovers 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 2–0 Drogheda United. Across their last 3 meetings Drogheda United have won 0, St Patrick's Athl. 3, with 0 draws and 3.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Drogheda United and 1.9 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 14%, draw 21%, St Patrick's Athl. 64%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.69 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United14%fair 7.03 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.70
St Patrick's Athl.64%fair 1.55 · @1.69
2.62Expected goals
0.74Drogheda United xG
1.87St Patrick's Athl. xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 0.7 – 1.9 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St Patrick's Athl. 64%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 0–2 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
