Value bet: Derry City to win @ 3.70 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBohemians to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.85
Bohemians vs Derry City preview and prediction
The match
Derry City travel to Dalymount Park in the Premier Division on Friday 21 August (19:45 WAT) to face Bohemians. Bohemians are 2nd with 65 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Derry City sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Longford Town 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Derry City's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat UCD 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Derry City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Derry City 4–1 Bohemians. Across their last 3 meetings Bohemians have won 1, Derry City 1, with 1 draw and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Bohemians and 1.1 for Derry City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bohemians 46%, draw 22%, Derry City 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Derry City to win at 3.70 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bohemians 1–1 Derry City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bohemians46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Derry City32%fair 3.14 · @3.70
2.53Expected goals
1.42Bohemians xG
1.11Derry City xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Bohemians 1.4 – 1.1 Derry City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bohemians vs Derry City?
On our numbers Bohemians have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Derry City 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bohemians vs Derry City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bohemians vs Derry City?
Our predicted score is Bohemians 1–1 Derry City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bohemians vs Derry City?
Bohemians vs Derry City (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Dalymount Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
