Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShelbourne to win ✓69% · @1.31
Double chanceShelbourne or draw ✓86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Shelbourne vs Waterford preview and prediction
The match
Waterford travel to Tolka Park in the Premier Division on Friday 22 May (19:45 WAT) to face Shelbourne. Shelbourne are 4th with 49 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Waterford sit 7th on 43 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shelbourne's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Sligo Rovers 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Waterford's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Drogheda United 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Shelbourne and 0.8 for Waterford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 51% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Shelbourne 2–0 Waterford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shelbourne69%fair 1.45 · @1.31
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @4.90
Waterford14%fair 7.01 · @9.50
3.03Expected goals
2.18Shelbourne xG
0.84Waterford xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Shelbourne 2.2 – 0.8 Waterford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shelbourne to win✓
69%
1.45
1.31
Double chance
Shelbourne or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Shelbourne ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shelbourne / FT Shelbourne✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.63
–
Form
Shelbourne – last 6
DDWLLL
8 May
vs Sligo Rovers
0–0
D
4 May
@ Bohemians
2–2
D
1 May
@ Dundalk
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Drogheda United
3–4
L
17 Apr
vs Derry City
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Shamrock Rovers
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Waterford – last 6
WLDLDD
18 May
vs Drogheda United
2–1
W
8 May
@ St Patrick's Athl.
1–4
L
4 May
vs Dundalk
3–3
D
1 May
@ Shamrock Rovers
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Galway United
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Bohemians
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shelbourne and Waterford.
What is the prediction for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?
On our numbers Shelbourne have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Waterford 14%.
How many goals will there be in Shelbourne vs Waterford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Our predicted score is Shelbourne 2–0 Waterford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne vs Waterford (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Tolka Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
