Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Drogheda United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Drogheda United vs Dundalk preview and prediction
The match
Drogheda United host Dundalk in the Premier Division on Friday 22 May, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Weavers Park. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Dundalk sit 6th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Waterford 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Dundalk's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Bohemians 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Dundalk 1–1 Drogheda United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Drogheda United and 1.6 for Dundalk. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 35%, draw 22%, Dundalk 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Drogheda United to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Dundalk43%fair 2.35 · @2.10
2.98Expected goals
1.41Drogheda United xG
1.58Dundalk xG
63%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 1.4 – 1.6 Dundalk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dundalk 43%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 1–1 Dundalk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Drogheda United vs Dundalk (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
