Value bet: Galway United to win @ 3.70 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDundalk to win ✓46% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Dundalk vs Galway United preview and prediction
The match
Galway United travel to Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday 17 April (19:45 WAT) to face Dundalk. Dundalk are 6th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Galway United sit 8th on 42 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dundalk's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Derry City 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Galway United's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Drogheda United 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Galway United 2–2 Dundalk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Dundalk and 1.3 for Galway United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundalk 46%, draw 21%, Galway United 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Galway United to win at 3.70 – 33% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Dundalk 1–1 Galway United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundalk46%fair 2.17 · @1.96
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.45
Galway United33%fair 3.02 · @3.70
2.80Expected goals
1.54Dundalk xG
1.26Galway United xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Dundalk 1.5 – 1.3 Galway United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Dundalk vs Galway United?
On our numbers Dundalk have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Galway United 33%.
How many goals will there be in Dundalk vs Galway United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundalk vs Galway United?
Our predicted score is Dundalk 1–1 Galway United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dundalk vs Galway United?
Dundalk vs Galway United (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Oriel Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
