Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
St Patrick's Athl. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: St Patrick's Athl. to win @ 1.84 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✓62% · @1.84
Double chanceSt Patrick's Athl. or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. preview and prediction
The match
The Premier Division sees Drogheda United take on St Patrick's Athl. on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Weavers Park. Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while St Patrick's Athl. sit 3rd on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Galway United 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Shamrock Rovers 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished St Patrick's Athl. 4–1 Drogheda United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Drogheda United and 1.7 for St Patrick's Athl.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Drogheda United 15%, draw 22%, St Patrick's Athl. 62%.
Safer route: St Patrick's Athl. or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: St Patrick's Athl. to win at 1.84 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was St Patrick's Athl. or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Drogheda United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Drogheda United15%fair 6.47 · @4.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
St Patrick's Athl.62%fair 1.61 · @1.84
2.42Expected goals
0.70Drogheda United xG
1.71St Patrick's Athl. xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
0–37%
From our goals model: Drogheda United 0.7 – 1.7 St Patrick's Athl. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our pick is St Patrick's Athl. or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
On our numbers Drogheda United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and St Patrick's Athl. 62%.
How many goals will there be in Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Our predicted score is Drogheda United 0–1 St Patrick's Athl., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Drogheda United vs St Patrick's Athl. (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Weavers Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
