Value bet: Shamrock Rovers to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Patrick's Athl. to win ✗40% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.19
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers preview and prediction
The match
Shamrock Rovers travel to Richmond Park in the Premier Division on Friday 10 April (20:00 WAT) to face St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Shamrock Rovers sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table).
Form guide
St Patrick's Athl.'s last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Dundalk 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Shamrock Rovers's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Shelbourne 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 2–0 St Patrick's Athl..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for St Patrick's Athl. and 1.2 for Shamrock Rovers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Shamrock Rovers to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St Patrick's Athl.40%fair 2.53 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Shamrock Rovers36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.26St Patrick's Athl. xG
1.19Shamrock Rovers xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: St Patrick's Athl. 1.3 – 1.2 Shamrock Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
On our numbers St Patrick's Athl. have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shamrock Rovers 36%.
How many goals will there be in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our predicted score is St Patrick's Athl. 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. vs Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Richmond Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
